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Showing posts with label Fibonacci Time Zones. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fibonacci Time Zones. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Fibonacci Time Zones

Fibonacci Time Zones are a series of vertical lines. They are spaced at the Fibonacci intervals of 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, etc. The interpretation of Fibonacci Time Zones involves looking for significant changes in price near the vertical lines. In the following example, Fibonacci Time Zones were drawn on the Dow Jones Industrials beginning at the market bottom in 1970.
You can see that significant changes in the Industrials occurred on or near the Time Zone lines.

Saturday, May 21, 2011

Use of Fibonacci Studies in Technical Analysis


As the series of Fibonacci numbers continues, it's interesting to not that any given number is 1.618 times greater than the preceding number and 0.618% of the next number. For example:
(34/55 = 55/89 = 144/233 =0.618) (55/34 =89/55 =233/144 =1.618), and 1.618 =1/0.618.
These same properties of the Fibonacci series occur throughout nature, science and math. The number 0.618 is often referred to as the "golden ratio", since it is the root of the following polynomial: x^2+x-1=0 which can be rearranged to x= 1/(1+x).
So, that's were the fib 0.618 comes from. The other fibs 0.382 and 0.5 commonly used in technical analysis have a less impressive background, but are just as powerful when used in a Technical analysis.
0.382=(1-.618)=(0.618*0.618)
and 0.5 is the mean of the two numbers.
Other neat fib facts (0.618*(1+0.618)=1 and (0.382*(1+.618))=0.618.

Use of Fibonacci Studies in Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis commonly involves the use of Fibonacci numbers with or without any knowledge of the Elliot Wave to help determine potential resistance or support and price objectives. Retracements of 38.2% commonly suggest that the prior trend will continue, 61.8% retracements, generally mean a brand new trend has began to establish itself. Indecision is implied with a 50% retracement, while during healthy trends, 38.2% is considered natural retracements.

ABC's

To determine the price objectives for a natural retracement at 38.2% you simply add the magnitude of the previous trend to the retracement during an upward trend in the market. And, subtract it during a downward market trend. Usually, after a retracement at 38.2%, the stock should peak the prior swing point (B) on heavier volume. It there is no volume, the magnitude of the move is usually diminished, especially if the volume is very low.
A-B =C-D when B-C =38.2% of A-B