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Showing posts with label Fibonacci Arcs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fibonacci Arcs. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Fibonacci Arc


To build a Fibonacci Arc, the position of two extreme points must be set. This is done by drawing a trend line between the two points. This line can be drawn from the lowest cavity or gap, to the highest peak on the chart. Then three arches are created with the center arch falling at the second extreme point. The arches should be drawn at the Fibonacci levels of 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%.
Fibonacci Arc is considered to demonstrate the potential levels for support and resistance. Generally, Fibonacci Arcs and Fans are both drawn on the chart at the same time. This allows the levels of support and resistance to be defined by the points where these lines cross. It should be understood, that the points crossing the arches from a price curve can vary depending on the scale size of the chart. But, because the arch is a part of a circle, its form is always constant.



Simply put, Fibonacci Arcs are constructed by first drawing a trend line between the two most extreme points on the chart. For example, the trend line should be drawn from the lowest gap to the highest opposing peak. Then, three arches are drawn with the second arch centered around the second extreme point.
The radius' of these arches represent the distances along the trend line in proportion to it's length and are equivalent to the Fibonacci levels of 38.2%, 50.0%, and 61.8% on the chart. By interpreting the Fibonacci Arcs, you are able to anticipate the support and resistance as prices approach the arcs.
The following chart will illustrate just how the arcs can supply information on support and resistance. The most common technique is to display both the Fibonacci Arcs and Fan lines together in order to anticipate the support and resistance at the points where the lines intersect. Remember that because the arcs are circular in relation to the chart axis, the points at which they cross the price date will vary depending on the scale size of the chart

Saturday, May 21, 2011

Use of Fibonacci Studies in Technical Analysis


As the series of Fibonacci numbers continues, it's interesting to not that any given number is 1.618 times greater than the preceding number and 0.618% of the next number. For example:
(34/55 = 55/89 = 144/233 =0.618) (55/34 =89/55 =233/144 =1.618), and 1.618 =1/0.618.
These same properties of the Fibonacci series occur throughout nature, science and math. The number 0.618 is often referred to as the "golden ratio", since it is the root of the following polynomial: x^2+x-1=0 which can be rearranged to x= 1/(1+x).
So, that's were the fib 0.618 comes from. The other fibs 0.382 and 0.5 commonly used in technical analysis have a less impressive background, but are just as powerful when used in a Technical analysis.
0.382=(1-.618)=(0.618*0.618)
and 0.5 is the mean of the two numbers.
Other neat fib facts (0.618*(1+0.618)=1 and (0.382*(1+.618))=0.618.

Use of Fibonacci Studies in Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis commonly involves the use of Fibonacci numbers with or without any knowledge of the Elliot Wave to help determine potential resistance or support and price objectives. Retracements of 38.2% commonly suggest that the prior trend will continue, 61.8% retracements, generally mean a brand new trend has began to establish itself. Indecision is implied with a 50% retracement, while during healthy trends, 38.2% is considered natural retracements.

ABC's

To determine the price objectives for a natural retracement at 38.2% you simply add the magnitude of the previous trend to the retracement during an upward trend in the market. And, subtract it during a downward market trend. Usually, after a retracement at 38.2%, the stock should peak the prior swing point (B) on heavier volume. It there is no volume, the magnitude of the move is usually diminished, especially if the volume is very low.
A-B =C-D when B-C =38.2% of A-B