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Showing posts with label Fibonacci Spiral. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fibonacci Spiral. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Fibonacci Spiral

 The Fibonacci Spiral is a geometric spiral whose growth is regulated by the Fibonacci Series. Its sudden, almost exponential growth parallels the rapid growth of the series itself.
 The spiral itself is a series of connected quarter-circles drawn inside an array of squares with Fibonacci numbers for dimensions. This is illustrated below.

Monday, May 23, 2011

Fibonacci rectangle

Another interesting occurrence of Fibonacci numbers in nature is the relationship to proportional squares. Taking an example, we draw a series of squares starting with the size of the first numbers in the Fibonacci sequence.
Continuing to draw squares with a size equal to the next Fibonacci number in the sequence we end up with a picture of squares all placed together to from a larger rectangle. The following steps illustrate this concept:
1. Start with two squares of size 1 and 1 (the first numbers in the Fibonacci sequence)
Fibonacci Rectangle1
2. Add a square of size 2 on top of these two squares, then add a square of size three to the right side of this square. The shape which is produced by the group of squares is known as the Fibonacci rectangle.
Fibonacci Rectangle2
3. The process continues with a square representing the size of the next Fibonacci number being added to the Fibonacci rectangle, the new square will reside on the next clockwise face of the rectangle. This process continues indefinitely. The following picture shows the Fibonacci rectangle produced up to the 13 number.
The Fibonacci Rectangle FibonacciSpiral

The Fibonacci Spiral in nature
When a circle is drawn in each square in the Fibonacci rectangle so that a quarter circle appears in each square it produces a spiral. This is shown in the picture above on the right.
This spiral formation occurs in many places in nature. You may have seen this shape in various sea shells.

Saturday, May 21, 2011

Use of Fibonacci Studies in Technical Analysis


As the series of Fibonacci numbers continues, it's interesting to not that any given number is 1.618 times greater than the preceding number and 0.618% of the next number. For example:
(34/55 = 55/89 = 144/233 =0.618) (55/34 =89/55 =233/144 =1.618), and 1.618 =1/0.618.
These same properties of the Fibonacci series occur throughout nature, science and math. The number 0.618 is often referred to as the "golden ratio", since it is the root of the following polynomial: x^2+x-1=0 which can be rearranged to x= 1/(1+x).
So, that's were the fib 0.618 comes from. The other fibs 0.382 and 0.5 commonly used in technical analysis have a less impressive background, but are just as powerful when used in a Technical analysis.
0.382=(1-.618)=(0.618*0.618)
and 0.5 is the mean of the two numbers.
Other neat fib facts (0.618*(1+0.618)=1 and (0.382*(1+.618))=0.618.

Use of Fibonacci Studies in Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis commonly involves the use of Fibonacci numbers with or without any knowledge of the Elliot Wave to help determine potential resistance or support and price objectives. Retracements of 38.2% commonly suggest that the prior trend will continue, 61.8% retracements, generally mean a brand new trend has began to establish itself. Indecision is implied with a 50% retracement, while during healthy trends, 38.2% is considered natural retracements.

ABC's

To determine the price objectives for a natural retracement at 38.2% you simply add the magnitude of the previous trend to the retracement during an upward trend in the market. And, subtract it during a downward market trend. Usually, after a retracement at 38.2%, the stock should peak the prior swing point (B) on heavier volume. It there is no volume, the magnitude of the move is usually diminished, especially if the volume is very low.
A-B =C-D when B-C =38.2% of A-B